Fivethirtyeight House Forecast 2024. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: See how each party’s forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the house have changed over time.
Our prediction model shows the chances kamala harris and donald trump have of winning the contest to be america’s next president. Democrats have a narrow path to senate control after 2024, but it’s narrow indeed, and one that might require the gop continuing to nominate bad candidates —.